A four engine jet tails contrails as it passes overhead.

In a landmark move towards reducing aviation’s environmental impact, American Airlines has unveiled the findings of a pioneering study on contrail avoidance.

With results authenticated through satellite imagery, this research sets out to mitigate the environmental repercussions of contrails, demonstrating a commitment to a more sustainable aviation industry.

Understanding Contrails and Their Impact

Contrails, those fleeting lines etched across the sky by airplanes, result from the interaction of aircraft with layers of humidity in the atmosphere. Depending on various conditions, these contrails can persist as cirrus clouds for varying durations.

During daylight hours, certain types of contrails reflect sunlight back into space, contributing to a cooling effect. However, some contrails have an adverse impact; they can trap heat within the Earth’s atmosphere, particularly during the night.

The Collaborative Study

American Airlines, in collaboration with Google Research and Breakthrough Energy, spearheaded an unprecedented investigation into contrail avoidance. The primary objective was to ascertain whether specific atmospheric zones prone to formation could be identified.

Furthermore, the study aimed to determine whether pilots armed with location data for these zones could effectively circumvent contrail creation during flight.

Jill Blickstein, Vice President of Sustainability at American Airlines, expressed gratitude for the collaboration: “American is grateful for the opportunity to work with our partners at Google Research and Breakthrough Energy to help advance the science on contrail avoidance.”

Blickstein emphasized the significance of the study’s results, underscoring the need for further exploration of how contrail avoidance could be implemented across the aviation sector.

Harnessing Data and Artificial Intelligence

Collecting an extensive range of data sets, including satellite imagery, weather information, and flight path data, Google Research and Breakthrough Energy harnessed the power of artificial intelligence (AI) to develop predictive contrail maps.

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Leveraging these AI-driven projections, a select group of American pilots conducted 70 flights over six months, introducing minor alterations to routes that were forecasted to generate contrails.

Juliet Rothenberg, head of product for Climate AI at Google Research, commented on the technical aspects of the research: “Our contrails predictions combine the latest in AI research with massive amounts of satellite imagery, weather data, and flight data.”

Rothenberg expressed satisfaction in achieving the first successful application of AI-based contrail avoidance in commercial flights, corroborated by satellite imagery.

Reducing Contrail Formation

Following the completion of test flights, Google Research meticulously analyzed satellite imagery. The results were astounding: flights in which pilots relied on AI predictions to evade contrail formation exhibited a remarkable 54% reduction in creation, as measured by distance, in comparison to flights where AI was not employed.

This groundbreaking achievement signifies the viability of commercial flights adopting contrail avoidance strategies. However, it’s important to note that this breakthrough, although validated through a limited number of flights, forms the basis for future endeavors aimed at scaling up the concept.

Marc Shapiro, Director of Breakthrough Energy Contrails, lauded the study’s implications: “Avoiding contrails might be one of the best ways to limit aviation’s climate impact, and now we have a clear demonstration that it’s possible to do so.”

Shapiro commended the collaborative spirit between American Airlines, Google, and Breakthrough Energy, highlighting the power of synergy in addressing complex challenges.

Paving the Path to Sustainability

American Airlines is resolute in its commitment to sustainable operations, embracing fuel-efficient aircraft and low-carbon fuels. With the aspiration of achieving net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, the airline has set ambitious interim targets.

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A testament to this commitment, the company recently released its 2022 Sustainability Report, offering insights into its progress on various fronts, including climate change.

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ByCharles Grey

Charles Grey has several decades experience in flight operations and aviation management roles. Charles remains passionate about air safety and airspace management.